Wednesday, 10 September 2025
Jakarta
--:--
Tokyo
--:--
Hongkong
--:--
New York
--:--
US Dollar steamrolls traders as markets struggle for direction
Thursday, 20 March 2025 23:52 WIB | EUR/USD |EUROPE

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, rallies above 104.00 on Thursday after the weekly jobcless claims data. Borrowing costs were kept unchanged overnight by the Federal Reserve (Fed), and projected two interest rate cuts for 2025. During Wednesday's Fed meeting, Chairman Jerome Powell said that any tariff-driven bump in inflation will be "transitory." However, he added later that it will be very challenging to say with confidence how much inflation stems from tariffs versus other factors. He also said recession odds have moved up, though are not high, Bloomberg reports.

Meanwhile US yields are plunging lower with investors heading into US bonds. The prospects of yields set to decline once the Fed starts cutting, sees a flight into the safe haven asset. That together with the geopolitical uncertainty as clearly a quick ceasefire for Ukraine is out of the cards and geopolitical tensions are heightened in Turkey and Gaza, makes sense that the safe haven US bonds are favoured again.

Daily digest market movers: Bonds push US yields lower
At 12:30 GMT, the most important data for this Thursday was released:
US Initial Jobless Claims ticekd up to 223,000, coming from 221,000. The US Continuing Jobless Claims came in at 1,892 million against 1,859million last week.
The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey for March fell to 12.5, better than the expected 8.5 and from the previous 18.1.
At 14:00 GMT, US Existing Home Sales month-on-month for February will be released. Expectations are for a contraction to 3.95 million compared to 4.08 million the previous month.
Equities are struggling with European indices facing big profit-taking. The German Dax is down over 1%. US equities are trying to brush off the negative tone and turn higher on the day.
According to the CME Fedwatch Tool, the probability of interest rates remaining at the current range of 4.25%-4.50% in May's meeting is at 80.5%. For June, the odds for borrowing costs being lower stand at 71.1%.
The US 10-year yield trades around 4.22%, heading back to its five-month low of 4.10% printed on March 4.

Source: fxstreet

RELATED NEWS
EUR/USD Strengthens Against A Weakening Dollar As Us Payrolls Revised ...
Tuesday, 9 September 2025 15:28 WIB

EUR/USD recorded a slight gain at 1.1760 after a two-day rally on Tuesday. The US dollar remained on the defensive as investors anticipated a sharp downward revision to US employment figures, although...

EUR/USD Maintains Its Gains With Focus On French Political Crisis ...
Monday, 8 September 2025 16:09 WIB

The EUR/USD pair strengthened, trading near 1.1715 at the open of the European session on Monday (September 8th). The common currency received support from a weakening US dollar following Friday's poo...

EUR/USD holds steady near 1.1650 ahead of US PMI data...
Friday, 5 September 2025 04:27 WIB

EUR/USD trades marginally lower on the day at around 1.1650 on Thursday. The data from the US showed that private sector payrolls rose 54,000 in August, missing the market expectation of 65,000 and he...

EUR/USD Stagnates Ahead Of Eurozone Retail Sales Release ...
Thursday, 4 September 2025 16:05 WIB

The EUR/USD pair traded slightly lower at 1.1650 at the opening of the European session on Thursday (September 4th). The pair continues to search for direction, not far from the lower end of its tradi...

EUR/USD rebounds to 1.1660 as weak US data fuels Fed cut bets...
Thursday, 4 September 2025 04:53 WIB

The EUR/USD trims some of Tuesday's losses though it remains shy of claiming the 1.1700 figure, despite broad US Dollar weakness across the board. Economic data in the US strengthened the chances that...

LATEST NEWS
S&P 500 rises to record on new inflation data

The S&P 500 jumped to a fresh record on Wednesday after a reading on wholesale prices unexpectedly declined, a welcome development for investors clamoring for a Federal Reserve rate cut next week to boost the economy. Oracle shares led the...

Gold Nears Record High Amid Weakening US Inflation and Geopolitical Tensions

Gold surged near a record high of $3,650 an ounce on Wednesday (September 10) after an unexpected decline in US producer prices reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will continue cutting interest rates at its meeting next week. Both...

Oil Prices Rise, Traders Weigh Trump's Tariff Threats and Fed Outlook

Oil prices rose for a third straight session as investors weighed President Donald Trump's latest tariff threats against buyers of Russian crude, the impact of the Israeli strikes on Doha, and the prospect of a US interest rate cut. Brent traded...

POPULAR NEWS
Will Nonfarm Payrolls revisions hint at a 50 bps Fed cut next week
Tuesday, 9 September 2025 04:05 WIB

The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the 2025 preliminary benchmark revision to the Establishment Survey Data on...

Russian Forces Attack Power Plant In Kyiv Region, Ukraine's Energy Ministry Says
Monday, 8 September 2025 17:12 WIB

Russian forces attacked a thermal power plant in the Kyiv region as part of an overnight attack, Ukraine's Energy Ministry said on Monday,...

US Nonfarm Payrolls benchmark revision points to 911,000 decrease in March 2025 level of employment
Tuesday, 9 September 2025 21:13 WIB

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Tuesday that the preliminary estimate of the Current Employment Statistics (CES) national benchmark...

European shares end higher amid all eyes on French no-confidence vote
Tuesday, 9 September 2025 01:52 WIB

European shares finished higher on Monday, while French stocks also rose as investors stayed calm in the run-up to a no-confidence vote later in the...